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Auto Production Boosts IP to Robust End to Q4

FRANCE DATA
MNI (London)

FRANCE DEC INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION +1.1% M/M (FCST +0.3%); NOV +2.0% M/M

FRANCE DEC INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION +1.4% Y/Y (FCST +0.8%); NOV +0.7% Y/Y

  • French industrial production saw a stronger-than-anticipated end to the year in December, expanding by +1.1% m/m and +1.4% y/y.
  • Transport equipment production (largely other transport equipment) was the key driver in December, jumping +8.3% m/m after stalling in November.
  • Extractive industries also jumped, up +6.0% m/m after -0.3% m/m, however this boost will likely be in part reversed in January due to strike action stalling production.
  • Yet the -3.3% m/m slump in capital goods reflects ECB's monetary tightening alongside weak global demand outlooks feeding into weak investment sentiment.
  • Outlooks for neighboring Germany are seen as contractive in December, which will likely cancel out the French boost to the Eurozone aggregate print.

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