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Bank Raises Rates by 25bps, As Expected

NORGES BANK
  • Norges Bank raises rates by 25bps to 2.75%, alongside expectations
  • Full Statement here: https://www.norges-bank.no/en/topics/Monetary-poli...
  • An as-expected decision from the Norges Bank - rates hiked 25bps and more tightening likely before peak rate is reached in H1 next year.
  • Path projections are revised lower beyond the peak path estimate of 3.11%, which is unchanged in Q3 next year. Terminal rate downgraded to by 18bps, so effectively pricing an extra 25bps cut as part of the easing cycle from end-2023 onwards.
  • Decision does open the possibility for an unchanged decision at the next meeting in January - bank could shift back to only quarterly rate hikes.
  • No meaningful response in NOK markets on the decision.
Full path projection update:

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