-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI Podcasts -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
Commodities
Real-time insight of oil & gas markets
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
MNI Research
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
-
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessBanxico Review
A Review of last night's meeting:
- Banxico left the overnight rate unchanged at 4.25% as expected. The committee reiterated the pause provides room to confirm CPI moving to target.
- What was a surprise was the 3/2 split on the vote compared to the 4/1 split in November. This can certainly be considered as dovish given the fact 40% of the committee consider the pause in the easing cycle to not be appropriate and would have preferred a 25bps cut.
- Especially given the departure of the relatively hawkish Guzman, the likelihood of a cut in February has certainly increased.
*SELL-SIDE REVIEWS
- TD - Now forecast Banxico to resume easing, beginning with a 25bp cut to the policy rate at the February meeting, followed by a further 25bp cut at the March meeting.
- JPMorgan - All in all, we now believe Banxico will resume cuts as soon as February instead of March. Furthermore, we think the board will proceed thereafter with back-to-back cuts to bring the policy rate to 3.5% by May.
- GS - A moderation of core inflation prints leading to a noticeable deceleration of the annual rate should be followed in short order by the resumption of rate cuts. They believe that there is a significant probability that the MPC resumes the easing cycle in 1Q2021.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.