October 04, 2024 11:37 GMT
BASIC INDUSTRIES: Week in Review
BASIC INDUSTRIES
Asset sales remain a theme in the sector, although none of the announcements this week were transformative.
- SKF was the big mover this week, with investors eyeing event-of-default language in the docs following announced plans to spin off Automotive. Arguing that it’s substantial part of the business looks like a reach to us, but with the 31s still trading at an 88-handle vs 84 a week ago the implied probability is still only around 25%.
- Lanxess announced the sale of Urethane Systems, improving leverage by 0.5x turns. Leverage still looks too high for the rating and we remain cautious on that with improvement in its end markets unlikely any time soon.
- Stora Enso announced plans to sell forest assets. That helps the balance sheet, but it still has more to do to meet raters’ requirements.
- Johnson Controls is said to be working on another asset sale, ADT alarms. We don’t expect deleveraging to be a priority.
- Bouygues Telecom lowered medium term guidance, which already appeared out of line with consensus.
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