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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Betting markets see President Biden as slight favourite to win the 2024 presidential election with an aggregated implied probability of 34.6% to win, ahead of second favourite, former President Donald Trump with 27.6%.
- Betting market data supports polling suggesting that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) has falled from clear second favourite amongst Republican candidates to firmly back within the chasing pack - now the third favourite Republican behind outsider Vivek Ramaswamy.
- Presidential election polling shows little between Biden and Trump. Three recent polls from Morning Consult (Biden +1), Emerson College (Trump +2), and the Messenger (Biden +1) find nothing to separate either candidate from the polling margin of error.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds
Source: RealClearPolitics
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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