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BMO analyst Aaron Kohli eyed today's.....>

US TSYS/7Y
US TSYS/7Y: BMO analyst Aaron Kohli eyed today's 1pm ET US$28B 7Y auction and
projects it will get a "stop close to the screws on 7s with only small outright
and relative concessions but month-end demand and solid foreign flows have been
adding to the buying pressures. We're fans of owning 7s over a longer horizon,
but the smaller concession on the curve means we're not as optimistic as we were
about the prospects at the auction itself. Seasonal stats are biased to a tail
and add marginally to our pessimism."
- He adds that "with the Fed out of the way" after Wed FOMC meeting, "there's a
bit less event risk to hinder setup for the 7-year and the outright concession
early in the day has likely created at least a bit of demand for 7s. Auction
stats are leaning to a stop through with an average stop of -0.3bp for the last
six auctions."
- And a month-end "index extension of +0.07 years means light structural demand,
but there should still be some buying heading into the end of this week and
early in the next one," he said. 

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