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BoE Pricing Still Sticky, Showing 40bp Of Cuts By Year End

STIR

BoE-dated OIS is proving sticky, still showing ~40bp of cuts through year end.

  • BoE comments have refrained from signalling a need for back-to-back cuts, introducing some hawkish bias and preventing the market from fully discounting sequential easing at meetings through early ’25 (~40bp of cuts currently priced through year end).
  • A reminder that BoE hawk Mann will appear on a panel discussing “The Value of Economic Research for Policy” (13:15 London).
  • There is no live streaming of the event.
  • Don’t expect much new from Mann today.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Sep-244.906-4.5
Nov-244.690-26.0
Dec-244.550-40.0
Feb-254.354-59.6
Mar-254.211-73.9
May-254.047-90.3
Jun-253.952-99.8
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BoE-dated OIS is proving sticky, still showing ~40bp of cuts through year end.

  • BoE comments have refrained from signalling a need for back-to-back cuts, introducing some hawkish bias and preventing the market from fully discounting sequential easing at meetings through early ’25 (~40bp of cuts currently priced through year end).
  • A reminder that BoE hawk Mann will appear on a panel discussing “The Value of Economic Research for Policy” (13:15 London).
  • There is no live streaming of the event.
  • Don’t expect much new from Mann today.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Sep-244.906-4.5
Nov-244.690-26.0
Dec-244.550-40.0
Feb-254.354-59.6
Mar-254.211-73.9
May-254.047-90.3
Jun-253.952-99.8