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Broad Dollar Strength Pushes USDMXN Above Key Resistance Lines

MEXICO
  • Risk off sentiment continues to drive preference for the US Dollar broadly, with the DXY breaking above the 106 level and currently trading at its highest level since December 2002.
  • Momentum on USDMXN has remained strong this week, with the pair breaking above its 200DMA and 38.2% Fibo resistance lines yesterday and gradually approaching its next resistance at 20.7010.
  • A break above that level would open the door for a move up to 20.7840, which corresponds to the 50% retracement of the 19.4140 – 22.1560 range.
  • EM currencies have remained under pressure in the past month despite central banks continuing to tighten their policy as inflation continues to surprise positively in many countries.
  • Last month, we saw that Banxico accelerated the pace of its tightening cycle by hiking its policy rate by 75bps to 7.75%, its highest level since October 2019 (unanimous and largely expected with CPI inflation currently at 7.65%).

Source: Bloomberg

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