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BTP rally the morning focus

BOND SUMMARY

Core fixed income has generally traded within yesterday's ranges, although we did see some early weakness in gilts on the open (now reversed).

  • The main story of the morning is the continued BTP rally. After 10-year yields broke to record low levels yesterday they reached new highs again earlier this morning. The futures contract hit a high of 153.82, just shy of the 153.87 level our technical analyst noted (corresponding to the 1.00 projection of the Oct-Jan rally from the Jan 22 low).
  • Looking ahead there are no notable central bank speakers scheduled but there will be focus on Michigan confidence data.
  • TY1 futures are up 0-1+ today at 136-29 with 10y UST yields down -1.2bp at 1.154% and 2y yields down -0.2bp at 0.108%.
  • Bund futures are up 0.06 today at 176.49 with 10y Bund yields down -0.5bp at -0.464% and Schatz yields down -0.1bp at -0.723%.
  • Gilt futures are up 0.04 today at 132.52 with 10y yields down -0.7bp at 0.462% and 2y yields down -0.5bp at -0.51%.

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