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CAD Rates See Modest Further Rally With Jobs Reports Eyed Tomorrow

CANADA
  • Front GoCs have seen mixed degrees of outperformance to Treasuries today, currently at the modest end with +2bp cheaper vs +3.5bp for Tsys.
  • The outperformance to the US is reflected in rates space although CORRA futures trades up to 2.5bps richer with the Jun’24 leading gains.
  • There remains little additional hiking impetus in the curve with the Dec’23 seeing a peak implied yield at 5.07% and with O/N CORRA having recently drifted higher still to 5.05%.
  • It’s followed by 66bp of cuts through 2024 on the Z3/Z4 basis, up from the 47bp of cuts prior to the Oct 25 BoC decision and the highest since Aug 10.

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