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CBI Report Sees High Industrial Prices and Pessimistic Growth Outlooks

UK DATA
MNI (London)

UK SEP CBI IND. TRENDS TOTAL ORDERS -2 (FCST -13); AUG -7

UK SEP CBI IND.TRENDS SELLING PRICES 59 (FCST 52; AUG 57

  • The CBI manufacturing trends report highlighted a sharp fall in output expectations for Q4, the weakest growth expectations since late 2020. The small decline in total order books implied that demand had remained broadly normal in September.
  • Economic uncertainty, waning demand and high energy prices continue to pose significant challenges.
  • Price expectations remained substantially elevated into the end of 2022, signalling that factory-gate price expectations are yet to ease. The limitation to upside inflation expectations from the energy price support scheme will likely see a 50bp hike rather than a 75bp hike on Thursday (preview here).
  • As the Bank of England continues to hike rates and prioritise getting a handle on inflation, slowing investment appetite will add pressure to a weakening manufacturing sector into year-end.

Source: CBI

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