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CEE FX: ING Believe PLN Can Outperform Peers in Coming Days

CEE FX

ING note that although the relief in EUR/USD has brought a decent rally in CEE FX recently, they believe it will be short-lived. USD pressure is still evident in the market and ING believe CEE is lagging the emerging market trend.

  • The NBP market pricing is strongly on the dovish side, which should lead to easier hawkish repricing in the event of positive surprises from the economy or Friday's inflation, rather than a larger cut otherwise. Thus, the zloty has a chance to outperform CEE currencies in the coming days, ING say, even if a lower EUR/USD returns pressure to the region.
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ING note that although the relief in EUR/USD has brought a decent rally in CEE FX recently, they believe it will be short-lived. USD pressure is still evident in the market and ING believe CEE is lagging the emerging market trend.

  • The NBP market pricing is strongly on the dovish side, which should lead to easier hawkish repricing in the event of positive surprises from the economy or Friday's inflation, rather than a larger cut otherwise. Thus, the zloty has a chance to outperform CEE currencies in the coming days, ING say, even if a lower EUR/USD returns pressure to the region.