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CHILE: Fitch Expects Government To Miss 2024 Fiscal Deficit Target

CHILE
  • Fitch has said that the government is unlikely to hit its 2% of GDP 2024 fiscal deficit target and that it faces challenges in meeting its medium-term debt reduction goal. Fitch notes that the 12-month rolling deficit reached 3.9% of GDP in August, due to revenue underperformance, but expects some improvement into year-end, driven by stronger income tax revenues and higher copper prices. Fitch expects a 2.9% of GDP deficit for this year.
    • For the full Fitch report see here.
    • Aided by a 1.8% rebound in copper prices today and a pullback in the dollar, USDCLP has opened moderately lower today, although losses have been pared in recent trade, with the pair just 0.2% lower at 944 at typing.
    • We have noted that the recent recovery in USDCLP has resulted in a break of both the 20- and 50-day EMAs, signalling scope for an extension higher, towards 951.80, the Sep 10 high. A break of this level would open the 960.00 handle.
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  • Fitch has said that the government is unlikely to hit its 2% of GDP 2024 fiscal deficit target and that it faces challenges in meeting its medium-term debt reduction goal. Fitch notes that the 12-month rolling deficit reached 3.9% of GDP in August, due to revenue underperformance, but expects some improvement into year-end, driven by stronger income tax revenues and higher copper prices. Fitch expects a 2.9% of GDP deficit for this year.
    • For the full Fitch report see here.
    • Aided by a 1.8% rebound in copper prices today and a pullback in the dollar, USDCLP has opened moderately lower today, although losses have been pared in recent trade, with the pair just 0.2% lower at 944 at typing.
    • We have noted that the recent recovery in USDCLP has resulted in a break of both the 20- and 50-day EMAs, signalling scope for an extension higher, towards 951.80, the Sep 10 high. A break of this level would open the 960.00 handle.