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For the first time Conservative Party leader Erin O'Toole has moved ahead of incumbent Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in polling for respondents' preferred prime minister.

  • Preferred Prime Minister: O'Toole (Conservative): 31% (+2), Trudeau (Liberal): 27% (-2), Singh (NDP): 20% (+1), Bernier (PPC): 4% (-), Blanchet (BQ): 3% (-), Paul (Green): 2% (-). Nanos Research / September 2, 2021 / n=1200 / MOE 2.8% / Telephone (% Change With September 1)
  • The shift in preferred PM polling seems to have lagged the party opinion polls. The Conservatives have taken the lead in most polls in late-August and early-September, but polling showed Trudeau remaining the preferred PM of a plurality of respondents.
  • If O'Toole can sustain a lead in preferred PM polling it could be a signal of the prospect of a Conservative majority becoming a reality.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-0981 |