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Conservatives See Small Bounce In Latest Poll

UK

In stark contrast to the Survation opinion poll released earlier this week, the latest SavantaComRes opinion poll has Prime Minister Boris Johnson's centre-right Conservative Party up 1, with the main opposition centre-left Labour Party down 1%.

  • Westminster Voting Intention: CON: 41% (+1), LAB: 34% (-1), LDM: 8% (-1), GRN: 5% (-1), SNP: 4% (=). Via SavantaComRes, Fieldwork 16-18 Jul. Changes from 9-11 Jul.
  • The Survation poll earlier this week showed the Conservatives down 4%, with Labour up 3%.
  • The gov't is coming off of a poor news cycle. Spiraling COVID-19 infections, a risk of food shortages due to lack of truckers and huge numbers of individuals being forced to self-isolate, backbench rebellions brewing over planning reforms, vaccine passports, and mooted National Insurance hikes, a scathing televised interview with former senior advisor to the PM Dominic Cummings, and the difficulties in the EU-UK relationship regarding the Northern Ireland protocol each delivering the gov't difficult headlines over the past week.
  • Given these headlines, and the poor polling for the gov't in the Survation poll, this SavantaComRes poll may prove an outlier in showing the Conservatives holding steady.

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