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Consolidating In Bear Channel

AUDNZD

AUD/NZD has continued to consolidate in its bear channel that it has been in since 28 Sep, with the cross trading a touch above 2022 lows printed 7 Dec.

  • NZD bulls look to break the base of the channel, moving down through 2022 lows opening up a target at the 2021 low of 1.0280.
  • To reverse the bearish trend, the pair will have to break the 20-day EMA at 1.0683, which sits on the bear channel resistance.
  • We published a piece yesterday on the fundamentals outlook for the pair in 2023, linked here. Rate differentials continue to point to further downside in the cross, but relative commodity prices are providing some offset.

Fig 1: AUD/NZD Spot Remains In A Bear Channel

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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