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Consumer Discretionary, Health Care and Materials Are The Weakest Performers in August

EMERGING MARKETS
  • Momentum on EM equities have been bearish since February amid a rising uncertainty over a range of risk factors (Delta variant, falling growth expectations, contraction in Chinese liquidity); MSCI EM index is down 12% since its Feb 18 high.
  • We previously saw that the collapse of China real estate giant Evergrande has been weighing on the entire EM real estate sector, which experienced a 18% drawdown in July.
  • In August, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care and Materials have been the weakest performers, with the indexes down 5.3%, 2.2% and 2.1%.
  • EM equities remain vulnerable in the near term as preference for the US Dollar could start to rise as Fed taper nears.
  • Consensus is currently pricing in the Fed to announce the tapering in November for a December start.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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