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Continued Fall In Number Of High Inflation Components

EUROZONE DATA

Based on the full set of data released by Eurostat this morning, MNI's Inflation breadth metrics (measured as the % of 4-digit COICOP sub-components that have Y/Y inflation rates above 2%) indicate that the proportion of high-inflation categories is diminishing at an increased pace.

  • In November, 72% of components had rates above 2% Y/Y (vs 78% in October and a peak of 90% in January 2023).
  • The proportion of components with rates equal to or below 2% Y/Y rose to 28% (vs 22% in October), while 13% of components had negative Y/Y rates (vs 10% prior).
  • Package holidays were expected to be a key driver of the November disinflation (most notably in Germany). Indeed, Eurozone-wide package holidays fell -8.5% M/M (though still were +16.7% Y/Y, contributing 0.08pp to the overall annual rate).
  • Transport services were also a key driver of services disinflation, falling -5.1% M/M and -3.9% Y/Y (pulling down the headline rate by -0.11pp).

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