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Could Strong Multi-Unit Construction Bring Relief For Rents?

US
The weaker housing market outlook continues to be mainly a single-family story: single unit permits and starts both dropped to post-pandemic lows in September (top panel in chart below; full Census Bureau report here). Whereas multi-family permits and starts (middle panel) remained around their all-time highs.
  • That's consistent with mortgage rate-sensitivity impacting on households more than multi-family unit investors.
  • Overall though, there is a record number total housing units currently under construction (see bottom panel), with multi-family construction at the highest since February 1974.
  • Could a flood of housing completions in the coming year mean that relief is ahead for rents, which have been increasingly driving overall core inflation?


Source: Census Bureau, BBG, MNI

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