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Crude Supply Risks Drive Near Term Calls to Parity With Puts

OIL OPTIONS

The near term crude option call-put skews have closed to near parity this week amid support for the futures market due to conflict in Israel. Both the Brent and WTI spreads moved to a call premium earlier today before falling back to a slight put premium as futures have dipped lower.

  • The Brent second month 25 delta call-put skew is now around -0.8% compared to a high of +0.3% earlier today but was trading around -5% last week. The second month WTI skew is at -0.6% having reached a high of +0.6% earlier today.
  • The Dec24 put skews have seen swings this month with weak demand and economic growth uncertainty weighed against tight supply concerns and speculation regarding OPEC member cuts into next year. The Brent Dec24 25 delta call-put skew is currently at -7.2% and Dec24 WTI skew is at -6.9%.
  • Brent crude second month implied volatility is at 36.5% and WTI at 38.4%.
  • Aggregate Brent daily traded volumes dipped yesterday with futures volumes down to 1.07m from over 1.2m in the previous days and options volumes also down to 177k contracts. but WTI volumes were yesterday down at 0.95m with options at 151k.
    • Brent DEC 23 down -0.6% at 87.12$/bbl
    • WTI NOV 23 down -0.7% at 85.36$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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