Free Trial

Day ahead

EGBS
  • Bunds have moved higher on the European open, following some of the overnight moves in Treasuries and also some risk-off moves in global equity indices, which has now passed through to European equity index futures moving lower.
  • As our overnight team pointed out earlier there has been "geopolitical tension centring on the Middle East, broader COVID worry and regulatory matters in China" all weighing on sentiment.
  • However, Bunds remain below yesterday's highs of 177.07 with our technical analyst looking for the next resistance at 177.61, the August 5 high and bull trigger.
  • The highlight of the data calendar will be the second print of Q2 GDP, but that is now outdated and is unlikely to have a huge impact on the market unless we get a large surprise.
  • In terms of supply, Germany is due to launch a new 0% Sep-23 Schatz for E6bln while Spain, Finland and the ESM all hold bill auctions.
  • Peripheral spreads are largely unchanged this morning.
  • Bund futures are up 0.18 today at 176.98 with 10y Bund yields down -1.5bp at -0.485% and Schatz yields down -0.6bp at -0.749%.
  • BTP futures are up 0.13 today at 155.20 with 10y yields down -1.6bp at 0.548% and 2y yields down -0.5bp at -0.498%.
  • OAT futures are up 0.15 today at 162.50 with 10y yields down -1.7bp at -0.141% and 2y yields down -0.3bp at -0.712%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.