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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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The open Ohio Senate seat of retiring Ohio GOP Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) may be firming as an outside chance of a Democrat pickup as the political environment improves for Democrats.
- Eight of the last nine polls in the Ohio Senate race have put Democrat candidate Rep Tim Ryan (D-OH) with a lead over Republican opponent JD Vance.
- According to FiveThirtyEight, Ryan currently has a moderate 1.2% lead in aggregated polling.
- The Cook Political Report identifies Ohio as a lean Republican race and Ohio as a state which has a strongly partisan Republican voting record.
- FiveThirtyEight: "Ohio is 12.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole... And it’s not as though Ohio just had a special thing for Trump, either; lately, it’s been GOP across the board, except for [Democrat Senator Sherrod] Brown (D-OH). All of its statewide elected officeholders are Republicans, and both the state House and Senate are strongly Republican."
- Currently the race is still leaning towards a GOP win but it should be placed with the Florida Senate race, where strong polling from Democrat candidate Val Demings (D-FL) has put her level with high-profile incumbent Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL), as races which could see a Democrat upset in November.
Figure 1: Ohio Senate Race, Polling Average (FiveThirtyEight)
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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