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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Democrats have opened their widest lead on the generic Congressional ballot in over a year, following Vice President Kamala Harris' ascent to the top of the Democratic Party presidential ticket.
- According to 538, Democrats' 1.1% lead on the generic ballot, which asks respondents if they would prefer an unnamed Democrat or Republican to represent them in Congress, is their largest lead since August 2023.
- The Hill/DDHQ generic ballot tracker shows a similar trend toward Democrats since President Biden withdrew from the race, supporting a theory that Harris may boost down-ballot Democrats in the House.
- Betting marketsshow Democrats with a 63% implied probability of winning the House, up from a dead heat, prior to Biden's withdrawal.
Figure 1: Generic Congressional Ballot
Source: 538
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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