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Dep Gov Gravelle Remarks at 1235ET

CANADA
  • BoC Dep Gov Gravelle’s remarks for the Economic Progress Report are published shortly at 1235ET, before the speech starts at 1250ET followed audience Q&A and then by media availability at ~1410ET.
  • Ahead of his remarks, watched to see whether there is greater pushback of cut pricing (circa 15bps cumulative cuts for March), GoCs outperform Treasuries across 2s and 5s. The Can-US yield differential of -55bps hasn’t closed lower since first ripples from SVB’s failure.
  • CAD has notably underperformed G10 FX today in the backdrop of USD weakness. USDCAD has extended yesterday’s modest gains, at 1.3604 off an earlier high of 1.3619.
  • It marked a move closer to resistance at 1.3648 (50-day EMA) whilst trend conditions remain bearish with support at 1.3480 (Dec 4 low).
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