Free Trial

Early Modest Rally Holds, Data Eyed Later This Week

GILTS

Gilts hold early, modest rally. Move away from lows in European equities & oil futures cap gains.

  • Futures +10 at 98.26. Thursday’s range presents initial support & resistance (97.63/98.53).
  • Cash gilt yields 0.5-2.0bp lower.
  • Any pressure from Tsys/heightened odds of a second Presidential term for Trump quickly countered at the open.
  • Dovish BoE MPC dissenter Dhingra has reiterated her views re: the need for rate cuts, which, when coupled with steepening U.S. Tsy curve, resulted in bull steepening for gilts.
  • SONIA futures little changed to +4.0.
  • Little net movement in BoE-dated OIS, showing 11.5bp of cuts for Aug & 49bp of easing through year end.
  • GBP800mn of short-dated gilt sales from the BoE’s APF are due this afternoon.
  • We will release our preview of this week’s UK CPI & labour market data tomorrow.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.