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Early Risk Appetite Fades

US TSYS SUMMARY
Rates bounced off early weakness to new session highs by midday as equities steadily reversed gains into the close.
  • Decent jump in volumes: (TYH>1.15M after the bell), early surge as futures sell-off, long end leading move (10Y B/E rate 2Y high at 2.0025%; 10YY +.0317 at 0.9448%; 30YY +.0355 at 1.6804%). No obvious driver on early rate sales, potential unwind of extension trades going into year end, participants eager to get 2021 underway.
  • Steady risk-on unwind followed as equities came under consistent sell pressure all day: likely combination of position squaring ahead GA run-offs Tuesday, political sideshow Wednesday w/electoral vote count; ongoing angst over Covid lockdown measures w/UK PM Johnson calling for national lockdown starting Tuesday.
  • More practical position squaring ahead Friday's Dec employ data (+62k est vs. +245k prior).
  • Jump in corporate issuance after weeks of inaction, over $27B issuance spurred deal-tied hedging in second half.
  • The 2-Yr yield is down 0.8bps at 0.1132%, 5-Yr is down 1bps at 0.3513%, 10-Yr is unchanged at 0.9132%, and 30-Yr is up 0.7bps at 1.6522%.

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