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EGB/Gilt: Bonds & Equities Under Pressure

BOND SUMMARY

Government bonds and equities have sold off this morning while the dollar has gained ground across the board.

  • Higher energy prices at a time of intensifying logistical challenges coming out of the pandemic has stoked concerns that inflation could prove more persistent at the same time that growth expectations are being reassessed.
  • Gilts continue to underperform core EGBs with cash yields 3-4bp higher across the curve.
  • Bunds have traded weaker with yields pushing up 1-2bp.
  • OATs trade in line with bunds and with the curve a touch steeper.
  • BTPs underperform core EGBs with yields 2-4bp higher on the day.
  • The UK Construction PMI for September came in at 52.6 vs 54.0 survey, while Eurozone retail sales for August similarly missed, coming in at 0.00% Y/Y vs 0.4% Y/Y expected.
  • Supply this morning came from the UK (Gilts, GBP2.50bn), Germany (Bobl, EUR3.235bn), Greece (GTBs, EUR625mn) and the ESM (Bills, EUR4.992bn). Slovakia also sold EUR1bn of a 30-year bond via syndication with books above EUR3.6bn).

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