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Election Still Too Close To Call As Energy Concerns Rise Among Voters

SWEDEN

Opinion polling ahead of the 11 September general election shows the main centre-left and centre-right blocs of parties both with around 50% support, making the outcome too close to call.

  • In a Novus poll of the most important issues for voters ahead of the election; healthcare, crime, and education are the three most important identified by respondents. However, energy is seen as the fifth-most important at present and is rising rapidly among concerns of the electorate.
    • Novus poll: Most important election issues: Healthcare: 63% (-1), Crime: 54%, Education: 49% (-2), Immigration & integration: 47% (+2), Energy: 39% (+5), Climate & environment: 35% (+3). +/- vs. July. Fieldwork: 11-17 Aug. 2022. Sample size: 1,004
  • Speaking to thelocal.se, Swedish energy expert Lars J. Nilsson stated that the electricity bill subsidy plans proposed by both PM Magdalena Andersson's centre-left Social Democrats and Ulf Kristersson's centre-right Moderates are unlikely to come to fruition, with the article stating Nilsson believes "the “high-cost protection” schemes pledged by both the Moderates and the Social Democrats are so expensive, and so potentially counterproductive when it comes to energy saving that they will be quietly dropped or downsized regardless of who wins the election."
Chart 1. Sweden General Election Opinion Polling by Party, % and 6-Poll Moving Average

Source: SKOP, Novus, Sifo, Demoskop, Sentio, Ipsos, MNI

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