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EM Analysis South Africa Feb Budget 2022:  Fiscal Outlook Brightens, But Markets Urge Reforms-Based Growth

south africa
south africa

Executive Summary

  • FinMin Godongwana delivers the 2022/23 budget next week against a notably brighter fiscal backdrop than in recent years, owing to excess revenues from a robust commodity super-cycle in 2021/22.
  • Deficit projections are likely undershoot prior forecasts by some margin, with markets looking for continuity in the fiscal consolidation path expressed at the November MTBPS.
  • Revenue windfalls are expected to be used to fund SRD grant extensions and trim the elevated debt servicing bill, while still respecting affordability constraints. No major tax amendments are expected.
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SA Feb Budget 2022.pdf

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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