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EM Carry ZARJPY Trading Above Important Support at 7.56

SOUTH AFRICA
  • ZARJPY ticks lower this morning after finding a local high of 7.88 on Friday; first support to watch stands at 7.62, followed by 7.56 (100D SMA). On the topside, first resistance to watch above 7.88 stands at 7.94, followed by 8.
  • In the past year, we have seen that the ZAR has been responding very well to the 'risk on' environment, with ZARJPY, which we view as a good proxy of EM carry trade, up over 40% since its April 2020 low.
  • The LT chart shows that the pair has been consolidating lower this month amid rising uncertainty over the Delta variant after reaching a high of 8.18 in the beginning of June.
  • Investors will closely watch the 7.56 level as momentum could reverse in case ZARJPY breaks lower.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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