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EMERGING MARKETS: Global News: November 13

EMERGING MARKETS
  • US (MNI) – Analyst forecasts for October's CPI report show a central expectation that sequential inflation will come in relatively steady compared with September. The MNI consensus for core CPI is 0.30% m/m (median) / 0.29% (mean) unrounded, vs 0.31% prior, while headline is seen at 0.20% m/m (median) / 0.21% (mean), vs 0.18% in September. These are in line with BBG consensus medians, and as suggested by the means, there is a slight downside bias to core. Forecasts appear aligned on a fairly sharp pickup in core goods prices, driven by used cars.
  • US (BBG) – Elon Musk and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy will lead a new Department of Government Efficiency tasked to “dismantle Government bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies,” President-elect Donald Trump announced Tuesday.
  • CHINA (BBG) – China indicated its discomfort with yuan weakness through its daily reference rate for the currency amid the threat of higher US tariffs under a Trump administration. The PBoC set its reference rate for the yuan at 7.1991 per dollar, 445 pips stronger than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The gap between the fixing and estimate was the widest since early August.
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  • US (MNI) – Analyst forecasts for October's CPI report show a central expectation that sequential inflation will come in relatively steady compared with September. The MNI consensus for core CPI is 0.30% m/m (median) / 0.29% (mean) unrounded, vs 0.31% prior, while headline is seen at 0.20% m/m (median) / 0.21% (mean), vs 0.18% in September. These are in line with BBG consensus medians, and as suggested by the means, there is a slight downside bias to core. Forecasts appear aligned on a fairly sharp pickup in core goods prices, driven by used cars.
  • US (BBG) – Elon Musk and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy will lead a new Department of Government Efficiency tasked to “dismantle Government bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies,” President-elect Donald Trump announced Tuesday.
  • CHINA (BBG) – China indicated its discomfort with yuan weakness through its daily reference rate for the currency amid the threat of higher US tariffs under a Trump administration. The PBoC set its reference rate for the yuan at 7.1991 per dollar, 445 pips stronger than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The gap between the fixing and estimate was the widest since early August.