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Energy Aspects Points to China Weakness As Main Oil Price Driver

OIL

The biggest price driver in the oil markets right now is demand rather than supply according to Energy Aspects Director Amrita Sen.

  • “We’ve gone through a period of very weak Chinese demand figures, we do think the worst should be behind us,” Sen said.
  • “There's a lot of fears about a significant [US] slowdown but we don’t think the data warrants that type of fear, we think China has been a lot worse,” Sen added.
  • “The market at the prompt is actually quite tight, you can see that backwardation, we are drawing inventories everywhere but its these demand concerns that are driving prices,” Sen said.
  • Energy Aspects thinks that global inventory draws, such as those forecast for the U.S, will allow OPEC to bring back barrels from October. “I think they will at least do the Q4 tranche,” Sen said but added that demand fears could cap further barrels coming back in 2025.

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