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  • 2y/10y bunds closed +1bp/-2bp with rate cut expectations broadly unchanged on the day’s ECB speakers where Lagarde focused on familiar matters (i.e. having a lot more data by June meeting) while Lane and Schnabel's appearances were more academic.
  • The Fed held rates steady while still projecting three rate cuts by the end of 2024 and discussing the eventual slowdown in balance sheet reduction.
  • Main/XO ended flat/+4bp (old series) while €IG/€HY cash closed +1bp/+2bp with Cons Cyclicals underperforming at +1.3bp and Energy outperforming (marginally tighter).
  • SXXP was flat on the day with gains of ~1% in Utilities and Chemicals playing against losses of 1.4% in Consumer Products/Services.
  • Asian equities have rallied on the Fed with he Nikkei and Hang Seng over 2% higher while the CSI 300 is flat as property developer Radian Holdings defaults on their offshore bonds, while Chinese regulators plans to intensify delistings. Stoxx 50 futures are +1.2%.





    GMT/Local Impact Country Event
    0700/0700 *** UK Public Sector Finances
    0745/0845 ** FR Manufacturing Sentiment
    0815/0915 ** FR S&P Global Services PMI (p)
    0815/0915 ** FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)
    0830/0930 *** CH SNB PolicyRate
    0830/0930 *** CH SNB Interest Rate Decision
    0830/0930 ** DE S&P Global Services PMI (p)
    0830/0930 ** DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)
    0900/1000 *** NO Norges Bank Rate Decision
    0900/1000 ** EU Current Account
    0900/1000 ** EU S&P Global Services PMI (p)
    0900/1000 ** EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)
    0900/1000 ** EU S&P Global Composite PMI (p)
    0930/0930 *** UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash
    0930/0930 *** UK S&P Global Services PMI flash
    0930/0930 *** UK S&P Global Composite PMI flash
    1100/0700 *** TR Turkey Benchmark Rate
    1200/1200 *** UK Bank Of England Interest Rate
    1200/1200 *** UK Bank Of England Interest Rate
    1200/1200 UK BOE's Agents' summary of business conditions
    1200/1200 UK BOE's MPS and minutes
    1230/0830 *** US Jobless Claims
    1230/0830 ** US WASDE Weekly Import/Export
    1230/0830 * US Current Account Balance
    1230/0830 ** US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
    1335/0935 CA BOC Deputy Gravelle speech on balance-sheet normalization.
    1345/0945 *** US IHS Markit Manufacturing Index (flash)
    1345/0945 *** US S&P Global Services Index (flash)
    1400/1000 *** US NAR existing home sales
    1430/1030 ** US Natural Gas Stocks
    1530/1130 ** US US Bill 04 Week Treasury Auction Result
    1530/1130 * US US Bill 08 Week Treasury Auction Result
    1600/1200 US Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr
    1700/1300 ** US US Treasury Auction Result for TIPS 10 Year Note
    1900/1500 *** MX Mexico Interest Rate
    2330/0830 *** JP CPI

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