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EUR/USD Uptrendline Under Pressure

EUR
  • EURUSD trades just off the lows on the mixed US data, however the fade off the overnight high holds close to 70 pips, and is consistent with the rebounding dollar evident across G10 currency markets.
  • Activity across European morning hours was healthier relative to recent averages, but has ebbed slightly through the NY crossover to trim daily volumes to the usual levels.
  • Further weakness here would threaten the uptrendline drawn off the mid-March low of 1.0516 which intersects today at 1.0982 - just ahead of the Monday low of 1.0966.
  • With the NY cut now out of the way, the gravity of expiries layered between 1.10-1.11 will have faded, turning focus to more sizeable strikes for tomorrow at 1.09($2.7bln), 1.0930-50(E4.8bln) and 1.10(E1.5bln).

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