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EURPLN Is Testing 4.5890 Support

POLAND
  • EURPLN has been consolidating sharply lower in the past week, partly driven by the positive surprise in inflation on Tuesday, which increased the odds for a more aggressive hike (i.e. 75bps) next week – Dec 8.
  • As a reminder, CPI inflation accelerated to 7.7% in November (vs. 7.3% exp.), up from 6.8% the previous month and diverging significantly from the NBP 3.5% upper tolerance band.
  • The pair tested its 4.5890 support earlier, which represents the 50% retracement of the 4.4360-4.7420 range.
  • A break below that level would open the door for a move down to 4.57 (200DMA).
  • On the topside, first resistance stands at 4.6190 (DMA), followed by 4.6250 (38.2%).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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