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EZ Final Inflation Confirms Flash

EUROZONE DATA

Eurozone Final HICP confirms flash, January inflation falls with Processed food, alcohol and tobacco, and Core Goods (NEIG) contributions falling from December to January, confirming flash estimates at+2.8% Y/Y (vs +2.9% Y/Y prior) and -0.4% M/M (vs +0.2% M/M prior).

  • Similarly, Core inflation printed in line with flash at +3.3% Y/Y (vs +3.4%Y/Y prior), and -0.9% M/M (vs +0.5% M/M prior).
  • At a country level: Finland saw a +0.4ppt revision to flash Y/Y HICP, whilst Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania and Slovakia saw flash Y/Y HICP were revised up by +0.1ppt. Luxembourg was revised down -0.2ppt and Portugal was revised down -0.1ppt
  • The final readings show Services contribution stalling to +1.73ppt (vs +1.74ppt prior) and it remains the largest contributor to headline inflation rate.
  • Processed Food, Alcohol, and Tobacco contributed +0.82ppt (vs +0.91ppt prior) - the lowest contribution since March 2022. Unprocessed foods contribution to headline HICP remains at +0.31ppt, the same as December.
  • NEIG contributed +0.53ppt (vs +0.66ppt prior) - also the lowest contribution since July 2021.
  • Energy's negative contribution continues to decrease as expected to -0.62ppt (vs -0.68ppt prior).

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Eurozone Final HICP confirms flash, January inflation falls with Processed food, alcohol and tobacco, and Core Goods (NEIG) contributions falling from December to January, confirming flash estimates at+2.8% Y/Y (vs +2.9% Y/Y prior) and -0.4% M/M (vs +0.2% M/M prior).

  • Similarly, Core inflation printed in line with flash at +3.3% Y/Y (vs +3.4%Y/Y prior), and -0.9% M/M (vs +0.5% M/M prior).
  • At a country level: Finland saw a +0.4ppt revision to flash Y/Y HICP, whilst Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania and Slovakia saw flash Y/Y HICP were revised up by +0.1ppt. Luxembourg was revised down -0.2ppt and Portugal was revised down -0.1ppt
  • The final readings show Services contribution stalling to +1.73ppt (vs +1.74ppt prior) and it remains the largest contributor to headline inflation rate.
  • Processed Food, Alcohol, and Tobacco contributed +0.82ppt (vs +0.91ppt prior) - the lowest contribution since March 2022. Unprocessed foods contribution to headline HICP remains at +0.31ppt, the same as December.
  • NEIG contributed +0.53ppt (vs +0.66ppt prior) - also the lowest contribution since July 2021.
  • Energy's negative contribution continues to decrease as expected to -0.62ppt (vs -0.68ppt prior).

Keep reading...Show less