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Falling US Physical Crude Prices Support Buying Interest from Asia

OIL

US physical crude prices have fallen this week as Saudi Arabia reaffirmed support for OPEC+ efforts to keep prices stable helped to reassure markets that supplies might be boosted in the event of supply disruption according to Bloomberg.

  • The WTI premium over Middle East’s Dubai crude for loading in November has fallen by 2$/bbl to 7$/bbl since the end of last month according to Bloomberg sources. The premium over Abu Dhabi’s Murban oil has also closed to 4.25$/bbl according to pricing agency General Index.
  • The WTI-Brent front month spread has fallen from as high as -3.12$/bbl last week down to -4.25$/bbl today. Light sweet crude prices to Europe for cargoes loading in November are showing a premium to ICE Brent of about 0.5$/bbl down from 2$/bbl last week.
  • The price decline is boosting interest in US supplies with at least five supertankers (about 10mbbls of oil) to buyers in Asia since Wednesday. Tight inventories and the return of refineries from maintenance could however limit any increase in exports.

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