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Familiar Levels In Play On BoE Strip

STIR

BoE-dated OIS contracts are flat to 2bp firmer, with any limited drift higher aided by the direction of travel in core global FI markets.

  • That leaves ~29bp of tightening showing for next month’s MPC decision, while terminal policy rate pricing hovers around 5.90%.
  • While it won’t have been a major market mover, overnight we saw the latest domestic GfK consumer confidence print rebound a little, albeit to a still sub-0 -25. The survey collator noted that “against a backdrop of falling core inflation, higher interest rates and rising average weekly earnings, the Consumer Confidence Index has regained momentum this month.”
  • A quick reminder that UK markets will be closed on Monday, owing to a UK bank holiday.
  • It also worth remembering that BoE’s Broadbent will speak over the weekend. He will contribute to a Jackson Hole panel covering the topic of “Globalization at an Inflection Point.”
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Sep-235.473+28.8
Nov-235.659+47.3
Dec-235.778+59.2
Feb-245.836+65.1
Mar-245.833+64.7
May-245.802+61.6
Jun-245.751+56.6
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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