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Fed Rate Path Only Slowly Retracing Yesterday’s JOLTS Hit

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied rates continue an overnight increase but remain in the lower half of yesterday’s range.
  • Based off an effective 4.83%, showing an 11.5bp hike for May (+1bp), the first full cut with -26bp to 4.57% in Sep (+6bp) and -63bp of cuts to year-end with 4.20% (+7bp).
  • No scheduled Fedspeak today. Mester (’24) late yesterday: sees the Fed Funds rate above 5% and holding there for some time, the Fed will weigh credit conditions as it ponders further hikes.

Source: Bloomberg

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