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Fed Rate Path Sees Further Higher For Long Push On CPI

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes unwind an earlier nudge higher for the Mar 22 decision (26bp, -1bp post CPI) but see much larger increases thereafter.
  • Cumulative 46bp for May (+0.5bp), 67bps to terminal 5.25% in July (+6bp) with a terminal starting to get closer to pushing into the Sep meeting (5.22%).
  • That’s followed by now only 23bp of cuts to 5.02% at the Dec meeting (+12.5bp), the latter now an additional 44bp of hikes from the current effective. The curve had priced 28bps of cuts at yesterday’s close.


Source: Bloomberg

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