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Flash GDP (Q2 2020) Preview - 07:00 BST

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

Bbg Cons: -9.0% q/q (sa), -11.4% y/y (wda); Prev (Q1): -2.2% q/q, 2.3% y/y


  • Quarterly GDP contracted 2.2% in the first quarter of 2020 as
    a consequence of Covid-19 crisis.
  • Germany introduced social distancing measures in Mar and they remained in
    place throughout most of Q2, leading to severe economic consequences
  • The German economy is expected to fare slightly better than its European
    peers as the lockdown restrictions had been less strict and ended earlier
    than in other countries.
  • Markets expect q/q GDP to fall by 9.0% q/q, while the y/y rate is
    seen declining by 11.4%.
  • While, retail sales fell sharply in Apr, they bounced back in May when the
    economy started to reopen.
  • The industrial sector showed a similar path.
  • June figures are likely to recover further, and survey evidence suggests
    another uptick at the beginning of Q3.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com

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