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FRANCE DATA: France Flash Inflation A Touch Firmer Than Expected

FRANCE DATA

The latest set of August flash inflation prints from France saw HICP and CPI both on an annual and sequential basis come in firmer than expected.

  • HICP came in at +2.23% Y/Y (vs 2.1% consensus, 2.70% prior) and 0.64% M/M (vs 0.5% consensus, 0.20% prior).
  • CPI came in at 1.88% Y/Y (vs 1.8% consensus, 2.30% prior) and 0.58% M/M (vs 0.5% consensus, 0.18% prior).
  • Looking at the national CPI:

    • Services CPI (which makes up 51.6% of the national CPI index) rose to 3.09% Y/Y (vs 2.59% in July) - the highest reading since February 2024, driven by the price of accommodation and transport services. On a monthly basis however, services prices rose 0.60% (vs 1.22% prior), which had been highlighted ahead of the release due to the Olympics.
    • Meanwhile, energy prices softened to 0.52% Y/Y (vs 8.48% prior) - the lowest reading since July 2023 mainly due to base effects, on a monthly basis energy prices fell 1.21% (vs a rise of 1.41% in the prior month).
    • Non-Energy Industrial Goods softened a touch to -0.07% Y/Y (vs +0.01% prior).
    • Finally, food CPI was broadly unchanged at 0.50% Y/Y versus 0.52% prior.
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