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Fri's stronger than exp Oct NFP........>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Fri's stronger than exp Oct NFP (+128k vs. +85k est) saw rates gap
lower followed by decent two-way positioning from fast$ and prop accts in
intermediates. Midmorning bounce reversed on weaker than expected manufacturing
PMI (48.3 vs. 49.0 exp). Post-data perspective: Tsy futures only unwound half
Thursday's strong rally that was driven by US/China long-term trade deal doubts
and weakest PMI in near 4 years.
- Fed speakers out of blackout, Dallas Fed Pres Kaplan said current mon/pol
"basically appropriate" and "strongly advocates remaining patient". Lead
quarterly Eurodollar futures traded off on decent volume, Dec rate cut chances
back to the mid-teens.
- Decent but not heavy volume trade, rather disappointing for a NFP miss. 3M10Y
curve lead steepening to near 7 month highs ahead NY Fed bill buy operation:
purchases $7.501B in 30 minute op. Long end buying late with modest short
duration unwinds in 30s.
- The 2-Yr yield is up 4bps at 1.564%, 5-Yr is up 3.8bps at 1.5572%, 10-Yr is up
3.9bps at 1.7295%, and 30-Yr is up 3.3bps at 2.2125%.

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