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Free AccessFutures Stronger, Supported By BoJ Summary Of Opinions & US Tsys
JGB futures add to post-Tokyo gains seen ahead of the weekend to be +7 compared to settlement levels in early Tokyo trade. The gains have been supported by stronger US tsys, which appear bid from the fallout from the political situation in Russia, and a dovish Summary of Opinions from the BoJ’s June meeting. According to the BoJ summary (See link):
- Easing should continue but cost of YCC is high, taking into account factors like preventing sharp fluctuations in interest rates in an exit, market functioning and communication with market participants: one member.
- No need to revise the conduct of YCC as curve distortions have dissipated and market functioning has improved: one member.
- Hasty policy change risks missing a chance to achieve price stability target: one member.
- It is highly likely CPI will decelerate toward the middle of fiscal 2023 but will not fall below 2%: one member.
- PPI services for May printed unchanged at +1.6% yoy, below expectations of +1.8%.
- Cash JGBs are little changed in early Tokyo trade with yield movements beyond the 1-year zone within +/- 0.4bp. The benchmark 10-year yield is unchanged at 0.369%, below the BoJ's YCC limit of 0.50%. The 20-year is 0.2bp lower, showing no concession on the curve, ahead of tomorrow’s supply.
- Swap rate and spreads are mixed so far in morning Tokyo trade.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.