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Futures Uptick Overnight, Subdued NY Session For US Tsys

JGBS

In post-Tokyo trade, JGB futures have up ticked, closing +2 compared to settlement levels, after Tuesday's subdued NY session for US tsys.

  • US tsys finished 3bps cheaper to 1bp richer across the major benchmarks, with the curve twist-flattening, pivoting on the 20s.
  • US Tsys observed narrow ranges mostly on Tuesday amid thin holiday trade. There was little follow-through on moves, with little meaningful macro news flow crossing.
  • FOMC dated OIS price a ~90bps of cuts by November 2024.
  • The US data docket is light this week, with the Richmond Fed Mfg Index and Dallas Fed Service Index crossing today. Further out, we have Initial Jobless Claims and MNI Chicago PMI.
  • Today, the local calendar sees BOJ Summary of Opinions (Dec. MPM) and November Housing Starts. Further out this week sees November Retail Sales and Industrial Production (flash reading).
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