Free Trial

Futures Weaker, German Yields Higher On Higher Than Expected Inflation, 2Y Supply Today

JGBS

In post-Tokyo trade, JGB futures are weaker, closing -7 compared to settlement levels, after the cash US tsy curve bear-steepened again on Wednesday, with yields were flat to 7bps higher. The 2-year finished flat at 4.97%, while the 10Y was +6bps at 4.61%. The 2y10y finished +6.776 at -36.296 and now 12bps off lows from May 28th.

  • The FOMC's high-for-longer stance, along with another poor auction weighed on the US tsy market.
  • The 7y note auction extended a string of weak sales this week, as the 7y tailed by 1.3bps (awarded at 4.650% vs. WI of 4.637%). The bid-to-cover of 2.43 was also soft and marked the lowest outright demand in a year. In response to the soft sale, the 7y yield extended pre-auction deadline gains, touching 4.6537%.
  • There was also spillover from weakness in EGBs after stronger German inflation and wage data. German 10-year bunds closed 10bps higher at 2.69%.
  • Yields have now risen in about 7 of the last 9 sessions, since May 15 and are back near the highs since November.
  • Fed's Beige Book detailed 'modest' price growth across the survey period, but markets proved unresponsive ahead of key PCE data due Thursday and Friday, which markets expect to be a key input for June Fed decision.
  • On the local calendar today, we have weekly offshore investment flows alongside 2-year supply.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.