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Free AccessGas Summary at European Close: TTF Reverses Earlier Losses
Front month TTF has reversed losses earlier in the day, to be trading higher, driven by headlines of a potential power loss at the Freeport LNG facility, the second largest liquefaction terminal in the USA. TTF levels had softened earlier after Israel restarted the Tamar gas field.
- TTF DEC 23 up 2.2% at 47.64€/MWh
- TTF Q1 24 up 1.5% at 49.17€/MWh
- The power draw at the Freeport LNG terminal decreased dramatically from 8:00ET (13:00GMT) on Monday, indicating the whole facility may be offline according to a Genscape report.
- Israel’s pipeline natural gas flows to Egypt are currently at around 350-400mcf/d, still around 50% lower than prior to the conflict, a person familiar with the numbers told Bloomberg. Israel ordered Chevron to resume production at the 10bcm/yr Tamar natural gas field that was forced to halt production on 9 October according to a filing on Sunday by Isramco, stakeholder in the field.
- Norwegian pipeline supply to Europe is today at 327.1mcm/d but is expected to increase tomorrow with the return of capacity at Oseberg following an outage.
- Russian natural gas flows via Bulgaria continue today despite the new tax on transit flows according to Montel.
- Temperatures in NW Europe are expected to remain generally above normal in the coming week but could fall back closer to normal in the second week of the outlook.
- European natural gas storage was down to 99.45% full on Nov 11 according to GIE data amid smaller than normal withdrawals over the weekend. The five year average storage levels is around 89.6% at the time of year.
- European LNG sendout was up to 446mcm/d on 11 Nov having increased from around 380mcm/d at the start of the month. Floating LNG storage at sea for at least 20 days has edged higher again to hold above the previous five-year range.
- Spain may need to block LNG arrivals as the country’s regasification tanks are nearly at 100% full, TSO Enagas said Friday.
- Spain’s Sagunto LNG terminal has reloaded two cargoes in recent days according to ICIS, indicating Europe is still comfortably supplies at the start of the winter heating season.
- The switching of coal for gas in European power generation is a highly price responsive source of gas demand flexibility with an influence on global as well as European pricing according to Timera Energy.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.