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Gasoil Backwardation Softens from Mid June Peak

OIL PRODUCTS

Near term Gasoil time spreads continue to soften this week as the prompt spread pulls back from a peak of 19.75$/mt on 19 June after refinery disruption eases. The spreads surged higher in the mid June on the back of several refinery outages.

  • Low global inventories, a dip in European imports and Russian refinery maintenance had added to the upside moves but Russian diesel output is expected to increase in July as the works come to an end.
  • Crude backwardation is however still stronger than seen at the start of the month suggesting a tighter market supply at a time when demand is normally muted before an increase again heading into the winter period. Diesel demand in Germany has been falling this month according to an Argus earlier this week.
  • The Dec23-Dec24 spread is up from a low 7.5$/mt on 31 May but below the peak of 28.25$/mt on 16 June.
    • Gasoil JUL 23 up 0.2% at 705.25$/mt
    • Gasoil JUL 23-AUG 23 down -1$/mt at 7.5$/mt
    • Gasoil DEC 23-DEC 24 up 1.25$/mt at 21.25$/mt
    • EU Gasoil-Brent up 0.1$/bbl at 19.27$/bbl
    • US ULSD crack up 0.1$/bbl at 31.11$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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