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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessGBP/USD Overnight Vols Hit Highest Since March
- GBP/USD vols bid through Wednesday trade, with overnight implied vol adding close to 5 points and briefly touching 18 points for the first time since mid-March.
- Vols well supported following the upside surprise for UK CPI this morning, as well as the proximity to the BoE decision tomorrow - for which markets are pricing ~33bps of rate hikes - with today's data potentially prompting some of the more hawkish members of the MPC (likely Mann) to tilt to a 50bps hike vote. Consensus remains for a 25bps hike, but a number of sell-side analysts have upped their terminal rate view in light of the May inflation data.
- An overnight GBP/USD straddle now prices a ~85pip swing for GBP/USD vs. ~35 pips at the beginning of the week - signalling a heightened level of interpreted market risk around tomorrow's rate decision.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.