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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
The Real Clear Politics Generic Congressional Ballot, which asks voters to make a binary choice between a generic Republican and Democrat candidate, has shown that Democrats continue to close the gap to the GOP.
- According to Real Clear Politics, the current spread is +1.9% to the GOP, the tightest margin since January.
- At the start of May the GOP held a +4.8 advantage.
- The Hill writes: 'Two huge cultural issues — guns and abortion — are suddenly dominating the national conversation just five months out from midterm elections that were expected to be defined by the economy.'
- It is likely that these two issues have stimulated a resurgence of Democrats in the generic ballot.
- The White House is currently engaging in a pivot to the economy with a focus on inflation and energy prices. If this drive is successful it could further energise a Democrat recovery ahead of November's midterms.
Figure 1: Generic Congressional Ballot (Real Clear Politics)
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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